The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.7% year-over-year in August, slightly higher than the 3.6% forecast by economists.

Core inflation, which excludes the volatile costs of energy and food, continued to trend downward, recording a year-over-year increase of 4.3%, down from 4.7% last month.

These contrasting figures can largely be attributed to rising oil prices, which have now reached a 10-month high. There's growing concern that the supply of crude oil will continue to dwindle, with OPEC+ signaling a continuation of their voluntary production cuts for the rest of the year.

So, what does all this mean? Well, it's a mixed bag for the markets. On one hand, rising oil prices are going to put pressure on the cost of consumer goods.

On the other hand, the decline in core inflation is a silver lining, especially since that's the metric the Fed primarily uses to inform its monetary policy.

Bitcoin's Tipping Point: Will It Hold Above $25,000?

As underscored in last week's letter, the crypto market is currently in a state of apathy. To add to this, both Bitcoin and certain niche crypto assets, notably SOL, experienced a downturn earlier this week following news that FTX might soon offload its $3.4 billion digital asset holdings.

However, my outlook remains optimistic. In other words, the prevailing negative narratives simply aren't compelling enough. Although Bitcoin momentarily dipped below $25,000, it has rebounded, even against a higher-than-anticipated CPI and amidst speculations of FTX's selling pressure.


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