In the crypto space, I’ve been fortunate to spot new trends long before they became mainstream. And I still manage to do it - though less often now - as more and more niches, industries, markets, and entire domains are being conquered by a consumer who, frankly speaking, does not care about anonymity, openness, or decentralization: the very triad on which Web 3.0 & Web3 are built.

One of these (not so) obvious directions is indexes…

2018–2020: The Early Era

This is when the first indexes appeared - as simple as a brick. Essentially, they just grouped several assets under one roof using the most basic methodology. Think of something like a DeFi index, a BTC+ETH index, or even BED (BTC, ETH, DeFi).

This approach is understandable, but it doesn’t really give the index holder anything new.

2021–2024: The Middle Ages of Index Models

At this time, thanks to the rise of programmable assets and NFT 2.0 in particular, more complex index models emerged that:

Take a look, for example, at this calculation methodology. Here, we start seeing a scientific, mathematical approach. During these years, I personally studied the niche of NFT-indexes and uncovered many different solutions - but the real discovery was still ahead…

2025: True Non-Custodial Indexes

Let’s start from afar: what is a new entity in DeFi? It is always an old entity + some useful additional property. Let me clarify with examples:

All of this looks great, but it also comes with problems:

Why not today? Because the biggest problem is the custodial indexes themselves. SoSoValue entered the market with strong liquidity and marketing, but:

  1. They design the methodology for evaluating the assets in the index.
  2. They decide which specific indexes (RWA, DeFi, DePin, etc.) get created.
  3. They can block or limit index access at the interface level.

Is this correct? In my view - no. At least not if we want to stay aligned with true decentralization.

The Core Issue: Custodial Indexes Are Not Universal

It’s like ERP/ERC fragmentation for NFTs: everyone wanted to invent their own model, and we got ERC-404, SFTs, and many other token variations - but instead of decentralization, we ended up with dozens of local solutions.

In the era of account abstraction, it’s almost embarrassing to bring this up: unification does not take decentralization away from us - it accelerates it.

Therefore, the world does notneed a single platform for all indexes.
What we need is a single approach for creating non-custodial indexes.

But how exactly do we achieve this?

Solving a Simple Problem

Imagine you don’t have thousands of tokens in your wallet (like I do in one of mine), but just 10, and from 7 of them you want to create an index. How do you make it non-custodial?

Here are several options:

You’ve already seen an example of such a wallet in Uniswap v3 - it’s an NFT. A non-fungible token under ERC-721 or a similar standard is, by definition, a unique identifier embedded directly into a smart contract.

To be honest, I kept going around DAOs, startups, and various projects with this “crazy idea,” trying to explain what and how it works. And here’s the paradoxical conclusion I eventually reached…

The Most Liquid Market in the World Is the Market of Illiquids

Yes, exactly! Consider the poorest population of Earth - billions of people.

The real estate they own - from crumbling shacks in favelas and shanty towns to decent apartments, houses, garages, and other small assets - is worth enormous sums. At the lowest estimate: trillions, tens of trillions of dollars.

But each individual object is worth very little.

The same is true for tokens: in 2024 alone, millions of new tokens entered the market, but only a few thousand of them have meaningful liquidity. And NFTs? There, discrete liquidity is the norm.

So where do we put this “long tail”?

Throw it away? Probably - that’s how humanity has lived for millennia, and it led us to a point where we do not know how to handle what we create. As a result, we drown in waste while beautiful, clean places shrink in number.

The solution is obvious: recycling and resource optimization, including literal waste.

This is exactly what a non-custodial(and therefore anonymous, yet open and decentralized) index represents.
How to create such an index on theDAO Envelop platform - where I’m a participant and where I managed to push this proposal to implementation - I’ll explain next time. Today, I want to outline the high-level advantages of this approach.

First Advantage. True Meta-Indicators

Consider how this works. Imagine we have 3 participants, each with their own DeFi index - similar, yet different:

It’s easy to see that UNIhas the highest number of intersections, which means the highest weight in the meta-index.
Next come LINK and AAVE, which enter the meta-index with lower weights.

Now imagine there are 1,000 such participants. Or 1,000,000.

The accuracy and robustness of the meta-index keep increasing, while all other tokens can freely remain inside micro-indexes.

Visually, you can imagine it like this:

Secondly, with these indexes, you can create… meta-stablecoins!

Why? For many reasons:

Use your imagination. A meta-stablecoin is not just a pretty wrapper — it’s a necessity in a world where censored assets (like MiCA-compliant stablecoins) are growing in number, and where CBDCs are approaching fast and ready for deployment.

Third - and this is the most interesting part - you can create a market for open options.

How? You can combine a prediction market (like Polymarket) with a marketplace of such indexes. This gives you not just bets on growth/decline, rotation, transfer, and other index-level actions - but effectively provides a flexible mechanism for forming an option, which, as we know, consists of:

In this model:

In other words, using an index option, you can create all kinds of mechanisms:

The key point

Indexes are an inevitable future of Web 3.0 & Web3 — and it’s up to us to decide what they will be: custodial or non-custodial.

Where can you already test different approaches to index creation?

Here’s a partial list:

For further reading, I recommend my earlier articles:

That’s all for now. Next time I’ll tell you how to tokenize your illiquid assets, and for now -

See you!